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AI / Forecasting / Team project · 8 people

The grid’s next hour

24-hour demand forecasting using Denmark DK1 energy data.

XGBoostscikit-learnStreamlit
Energy demand: history to the next 24 hoursDK1 / Energy demandNext 24 hoursHistorical observationsForecast
Energy demand: history to the next 24 hours

The problem

Model calendar, price and weather effects in hourly demand.

The approach

I led algorithm development, using 40+ features, 1–168 hour lags and recursive forecasting.

Results and scope

  • R² 0.97; MAE 44.6 MWh on a chronological 80/20 split.
The grid’s next hour · Mustafa Arıkan